Jobs and Incomes

Drivers of informal economy in Uganda

Submitted by on Thu, 08/27/2026 - 12:24

nformality in Uganda accounted for 55 percent of the country’s economy.  This 4 percent increase in informality partly explains the persistent low tax-to-GDP ratio registered over the years. Additionally, the share of informal employment in total employment increased from 90.7 percent in FY 2016/17 to 92 percent in FY2020/21 (NLFS, 2021).

This policy brief presents the key drivers of informality in Uganda among informal businesses, household activities,



Tracking progress made in reducing poverty in Africa: a multidimensional perspective

Submitted by on Tue, 10/14/2025 - 07:37

This policy brief examines Africa’s progress in reducing poverty from a multidimensional perspective, using the 2024 update to the global multidimensional poverty index (MPI). Despite persistent negative perceptions, many African countries are among the fastest worldwide in reducing multidimensional poverty. The brief highlights the importance of using multiple metrics—absolute, relative, and population-based changes—to assess progress.


Potential impacts of European Union deforestation regulation on smallholder coffee farmers: Evidence from Indonesia and Uganda

Submitted by on Wed, 08/20/2025 - 12:16

While the EU Regulations aim to promote environmental sustainability, they pose significant challenges for smallholder farmers, including increased compliance costs, risk of reduced market access, and insufficient support systems. The regulations require coffee to be grown on land free from deforestation.


Uganda’s Market Access Opportunities Under the AFCFTA Agreement. An Analysis of Export Potential and Job Creation

Submitted by on Mon, 05/12/2025 - 14:45

The brief identifies market access opportunities for Uganda under the AfCFTA, assesses offers and Uganda’s capacities to supply products in the identified markets and estimates the jobs that are likely to be generated because of exploiting the expanded markets.



Harnessing the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) for growth in Uganda

Submitted by on Mon, 05/12/2025 - 14:42

This brief emphasizes the significance of trade facilitation reforms in the impact of the AfCFTA on Uganda’s export promotion agenda. Without these measures, exporters could suffer a decline in market share with the East African Community and liberalization could reduce border revenues by an estimated USD17 million yearly. It is therefore imperative to consider unilateral measures such as increasing investment in One-stop border posts and the electronic single window, to reduce trade costs.


Private Sector Mapping, Outreach, and Engagement in Climate-Responsive Agrifood Systems

Submitted by on Mon, 04/28/2025 - 13:52

The Scaling up Climate Ambition on Land Use and Agriculture through Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) and National Adaptation Plans (NAPs) (SCALA) Programme recognises the unique role of the private sector in spurring innovation and investment for transformative climate action in the agriculture and land use sectors.


Business Perceptions Strengthen Amidst Improved Economic Activity

Submitted by on Mon, 04/28/2025 - 11:23

 Private Sector Sentiment remained optimistic in Q2 FY2024/25, as reflected in the Business Tendency Index (BTI), which stayed above the 50-mark threshold. The BTI increased from 58.4 in Q1 FY2024/25 to 59.0 in Q2 FY2024/25, signaling growing confidence in business conditions. Similarly, the Composite Index of Economic Activity (CIEA) rose by 1.3%, from 165.4 in Q1 to 167.5 in Q2 FY2024/25, driven by growth in coffee exports and higher private sector credit, which supported economic activities during the quarter.


Business Perceptions Strengthen Amidst Improved Economic Activity

Submitted by on Mon, 04/28/2025 - 11:21

 Private Sector Sentiment remained optimistic in Q2 FY2024/25, as reflected in the Business Tendency Index (BTI), which stayed above the 50-mark threshold. The BTI increased from 58.4 in Q1 FY2024/25 to 59.0 in Q2 FY2024/25, signaling growing confidence in business conditions. Similarly, the Composite Index of Economic Activity (CIEA) rose by 1.3%, from 165.4 in Q1 to 167.5 in Q2 FY2024/25, driven by growth in coffee exports and higher private sector credit, which supported economic activities during the quarter.


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